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What is the Fair Market Value of a Full Service Commercial Law Firm?


What is the Fair Market Value of a Full Service Commercial Law Firm?.

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Trending for Law Firms in 2012: What to Expect This Year


Trending for Law Firms in 2012: What to Expect This Year.

Trending for Law Firms in 2012: What to Expect This Year


United (States) Parcel Service.

Image by matt.hintsa via Flickr

                                                                                      Jerome Kowalski

                                                                                      Kowalski & Associates

                                                                                      January, 2012

 

Thirty items affecting the legal profession that are guaranteed to dominate the headlines in 2012

It is that time of year when you are entitled to know what to expect for this new year.  Accordingly, here is what the hot trends for 2012 will be:

  •  Continuing decline in legal spend on outside counsel.
  • As law firms continue to more efficiently and timely bill for matters and, the trend of law firms whittling away at their inventories (WIP), while not being able to replace that inventory because of the lethal combination of  reduced headcounts and  reduction in the legal spend, lenders to law firms will require more stringent reporting and will in some instances, reduce available credit lines.
  • Deleveraging of work with partners and other senior lawyers billing increased hours and the trend towards the inverted pyramid model continuing.
  • Law firms establishing subsidiaries to engage in services complementary to their services, including e-discovery, document review, legal staffing services, investment advisory services for high net worth clients and the like.
  • Congress, the courts and the judicial conference will make serious progress about modifying e-discovery rules, bringing down their current gravity defying costs as well as dampening down the torrent of spoliation claims and the attendant Herculean tasks companies need to take to avoid these claims.
  • Given weakening retail sales and decreased demand for most commercial real estate, buyers will emerge to take advantage of attractive pricing on some properties, perceiving real value opportunities.  Private equity funds will move in to this arena in a big way.
  • Increased  focus on collaboration, within the law firm, vertically with clients and horizontally with vendors of support services and co-counsel. Extranets will be enhanced and new technologies will emerge to provide greater transparency and real time feedback and collaboration.
  • More paperless offices.  With the bulk of communications now being electronic and the expected decline in timely services from the United States Postal Service likely to increase the trend of communicating electronically, law firms will be incentivized to go completely paperless. Incoming snail mail will be scanned and digitized. The huge cost of storing paper documents will evaporate.
  • Increased use of outside facilities management companies for mail, fax, reproduction, IT, bookkeeping and legal records departments.
  • Law firms will make more investments in technology than in people. The IT hotspots are knowledge management, software to farm information for the purpose of responding to RFP’s, making an AFA proposal, based on prior similar work handled by the firm and for project management purposes.
  • Every lawyer will tuck an IPad under his or her arm and no lawyer will attend a meeting without opening one. Continued development of apps for lawyers will simply make this tool not only essential, but a lawyer not having an IPad at the ready, risks a serious loss of credibility.
  • Tough times often brings out the worst in some folks.  Last year’s small spike in BigLaw partners and even other law firm personnel who engaged in defalcations of client funds will sadly probably continue.  Look for more headlines of such tales.  Law firms will be well served to now tighten controls and checks and balances regarding client finds.
  • There will be periodic announcements by a partner at a BigLaw firm stating “after 25 rewarding and wonderful years with my former firm, I have decided to open a solo practice so that I can work more closely with my clients.”  Sometimes these announcements will be sincere and genuine.  Sometimes these announcements really mean “I’ve been on the job market for almost a year since I was asked to leave my former firm.  I haven’t been able to find a new slot and my firm wants me out right now, so I may as well give this a try.”
  • Virtual law firms, such as Clearspire and Rimon will continue to grow and gain real traction and increased market credibility.

I am quite sure that we have been fairly thorough and inclusive. If you think we left anything off the list, please let us know by commenting below. Similarly, if you think we are wrong about any of the above, post a comment.

It’s going to be a challenging year.  Please fasten your seatbelts, hold on to the handrail and make sure that your arms and legs do not extend outside your car. We are in for an interesting year.

© Jerome Kowalski, January, 2012.  All Rights Reserved.

 Jerry Kowalski, who provides consulting services to law firms, is also a dynamic (and often humorous) speaker on topics of interest to the profession and can be reached at jkowalski@kowalskiassociates.com .

The Coming Invasion of the Body Snatchers: Are Offshore Law Firms Going to Invade the United States?


The Coming Invasion of the Body Snatchers: Are Offshore Law Firms Going to Invade the United States?.

The Coming Invasion of the Body Snatchers: Are Offshore Law Firms Going to Invade the United States?


English: The United States Esperanto: Loko de ...

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                                                                             Jerome Kowalski

                                                                             Kowalski & Associates

                                                                             December, 2011

 

They’re coming.

The coming months and the coming years will mark an increased invasion of foreign based law firms and other providers of legal services into the United States.  They will likely be coming from all corners of the world. And, they will be looking to snatch your business.

First, we have the acknowledged intention of UK based behemoth Herbert Smith (1,500 or so lawyers) to re-open a United States office, after an absence of two decades. The new office, expected to open within the year will be populated by both United States and foreign qualified lawyers. Jonathan Scott, a senior Herbert Smith lawyer announced that the new New York City office focused on dispute resolution, including international arbitration and investigations.  Following the Watergate era admonition to “follow the money,”   the premium fee yielding dispute resolution and internal investigation practices seem extremely likely areas for firms like Herbert Smith (and AmLaw 100 firms) to continue to exploit.  The issue, of course, is that as the supply of high end law firms having the capacity to deliver quality dispute resolution work and internal investigations on a global scale and the competition for this work  continues to grow, price competition will ineluctably come in to play.

The British invasion is not new, nor will it end soon. British Magic Circle firms have invaded and have taken an increasingly dominant role in the US market for almost two decades.  London, which seems hell bent on being the Imperial home for the lawyers to the world, has already sent formidable firms here, including Clifford Chance, Linklaters, Allen & Overy, Freshfield, and Lovell Hogan. The last British invasion on these shores began with the Beatles in 1963 and last I heard, Mick Jagger and Paul McCartney are still playing to sell out audiences. The point is that, based on my count, fewer than 20 of the UK’s 100 largest law firms have taken to the US stage at this writing.

As the market in the Euro Zone continues to stagnate, law firms in that market will likely look to the American market as new sources for revenue. One recent example is Ireland’s A&L Goodbody, which long had a single lawyer outpost in New York, announced just yesterday ambitious plans to open a Silicon valley branch and reinvigorate its New York operations.   The Germans may not be far behind.

From the other side of the globe, the real game changer may well be the announced merger of   China’s King & Wood and Australia’s Mallesons Stephen Jaques. As announced in The Asian Lawyer , “[t]he combined firm will number some 1,800 lawyers, and is positioning itself clearly as an alternative in the region to the large U.S. and U.K. firms that have traditionally dominated major cross-border deals.”  It matters little if the combined entity will soon open a US office (although my raw guess is that they eventually will), the combined firm will be competing directly with both AmLaw 100 and Golden Circle firms for core cross border work.

As I previously observed,  “the profession must be mindful of the Chinese business model, which seems to be the Chinese asking foreigners to come to China and perform a service or build a product, followed by the Chinese saying “let me see how you do that.” That in turn is followed by “teach us how to do that,” and ultimately “okay, we now know how to do that on our own, so you can leave and we will do so on our own.’”

The West has not only taught Chinese law firms how to practice law in the Western style, but, the West has also taught the Chinese to operate globally and on the global expanse. Indeed, the two largest law firms in China, Dacheng and Yingke, are preparing to open bases in London. The United States will not be far behind.   Broad & Bright, one of China’s leading law firms with 60 lawyers,  is set on moving to the West.  It is now in merger talks with 2,900 lawyer Clifford Chance.    Since you have by now read the Broad & Bright web site through the link above, you know that Broad & Bright has acted as counsel in China for some of the world’s largest corporations and on its surface, does not need Clifford Chance to funnel more work to its offices. Broad & Bright is one of those rare firms that can easily be a net exporter of legal services. Thus, should the Clifford Chance talks fail, it would not come as much of a surprise that Broad & Bright (or a similar sized and placed Chinese law firm will simply say “okay, we now know how to do this on our own and we don’t need a Western law firm to open our own international law firm.”

LPO’s, sometimes called “non-traditional law firms”  have watched their gross revenues increase almost ten-fold over the last five years, to an estimated $2,500,000,000 in 2012 with some estimating a doubling of that number by 2015.  As I have said in the past, it is a major mistake to simply think of LPO’s as limited resource providers of ancillary services to law firms and corporate legal departments. Rather, they are alternate providers of legal services, which can provide a full range of legal services to United States consumers of legal services at an enormous price advantage. The only areas in which these entities are precluded from competing directly with United States law firms are appearing in judicial proceedings, signing legal opinion letters or otherwise directly providing advice to a corporation on American law.  A number of LPO’s, particularly on the Indian sub-continent, have affiliations of one form or another with Indian law firms.

The thin barrier preventing LPO’s from grabbing even more slices of the legal spend pie will easily evaporate.   There are a variety of different means for those affiliates to establish or acquire a United States law firm.  Thus, an LPO could easily establish a very real law firm branch office in the United States, populated by US duly qualified lawyers which in term could make eviscerate the thin boundary which would give these offshore entities the ability to offer the full array of legal services – including appearing in judicial proceedings,  signing legal opinions and direct counseling,

LPO’s, owned by offshore entities and owned by either US investors or by US law firms are sprouting United States branch offices like weeds. Those US branch offices already have the infrastructure in place to function as full service law firms, often with technology already in place that is complete state of the art. And there are many a small or medium sized law firm that would presumably welcome the capital and assured revenue stream from a successful well capitalized offshore LPO to buttress its own sagging fortunes.

In 2011, United States law firms met the challenges of reduced legal spends and new competition through reducing headcounts,  merging to create more critical mass and consolidating back office and support funtions, or by shutting their doors. Professor Steve Harper avers that in 2011 there were a total of 43 law firm mergers. Those shutting their doors, often with disastrous consequence to the firm’s individual partners, include the splashy Howrey implosion, Florida based Yoss, LLP as well as Ruden McCloskey (which didn’t quite go down without a fight) , New York’s Snow Becker and Krause, Atlanta based Shapiro Fussell Wedge & Martin, Los Angeles based Silver & Freedman, Denver based Isaacson Rosenbaum,  foreclosure mills Steven Baum and David Stern and150 lawyer Austin based Clark Thomas & Winters.  And there are more than a few commentators who suggest that  Arnold & Porter’s acquisition of the remnants of Los Angeles based Howard Rice and Bryan Cave’s acquisition of Denver based rapidly shrinking Robert Holme & Owen largely staved off the closures of the acquired firms.  A similar suggestion arguably applies to McKenna long’s “acquisition” of Luce Forward, with the former plainly planning on doing a material house cleaning of the latter.

Well then, Ollie, that’s a fine mess we’re in.

Despite admonitions concerning the imprudence of predicting the future by such luminaries as John Kenneth Gailbraith (“the only purpose served in making predictions about the future is to lend credibility to astrology”) and Yogi Berra (“the future is hard to predict because it hasn’t happened yet”), I tremulously suggest that we are certainly likely to see the following over the coming months:

  • Continued merging of middle market law firms to create larger regional or super regional law firms.
  • Further reducing headcount and support staff.
  • Acquisitions by foreign law firms or alternative providers of domestic US based law firms.
  • Some US law firms meeting the invasion of foreign law firms and alternative legal service providers by counter-attacks, landing branches on foreign shores, despite the known risks attendant to that approach.
  • Enhanced collaboration, both vertically between the law firm and its important institutional clients, as well as horizontally with alternative providers of legal services as well as with law firms to which the client may have downsourced work to.
  • Increased price competition for premium work as well as increased commoditization of other lines of work.

We are in for some challenging times.  Most well managed law firms will continue to survive and thrive. Some law firms will inevitably appear on lists published next December of law firms that sadly didn’t make it.

© Jerome Kowalski, December, 2011.  All Rights Reserved.

 Jerry Kowalski, who provides consulting services to law firms, is also a dynamic (and often humorous) speaker on topics of interest to the profession and can be reached at jkowalski@kowalskiassociates.com .

A Cost Way Too High to Pay: The New York Times on the Price of Law School Tuition


A Cost Way Too High to Pay: The New York Times on the Price of Law School Tuition.

What are the Most Significant Legaltech Changes You Have Seen During Your Careers?


What are the Most Significant Legaltech Changes You Have Seen During Your Careers?.

Law Firms Going Global: A Baedeker Guide


Law Firms Going Global: A Baedeker Guide.

Law Firms Going Global: A Baedeker Guide


English: Blank globe, focus on Africa. Deutsch...

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                                                                             Jerome Kowalski

                                                                             Kowalski & Associates

                                                                             December, 2011

 

 

Packing your bags and jetting off to new offices abroad

 

Thomas Friedman told us a couple of years ago that “The World is Flat.”  The annual AmLaw reports on law firm profitability strongly suggests that as law firms go global, taking advantage of the new flat world,  profits seem to soar.  But perhaps globalization is not all that it’s cut out to be. And, even if it’s for your firm, going global requires heightened diligence and vigilance.

A recent article in The Economist, subtitled “Globalisation slows profit growth for many law firms” concludes that going global dampens and slows profitability. The Economist suggests that global expansion can be an expensive mistake.

Foreign Offices as Revenue Enhancers?

I recently reported on the The National Law Journal’s Managing Partners’ Breakfast Meeting.  As I noted, the panel leading the discussion consisted of Tom Mills of Winston & Strawn, Alice Fisher of Latham and Elizabeth Stern of Baker & Mackenzie, each of which served as their respective law firms’ Washington offices managing partners.  Each firm represented on the panel was global and certainly eminently profitable.  Winston & Strawn has 15 offices, of which seven are outside the United States.  It reported gross revenues of $717,000,000,  868 lawyers and profits per partner for 2010 of $1,385,000.  Latham boasts 31 offices, of which 19 are abroad. Latham’s gross revenues for the same period of $1,929,000,000, earned off of the backs of 1,939 lawyers.  PPP at Latham for the period was $1,995,000.  Baker, which has a June 30 Fiscal year, reported revenues of $2,104,000.000 produced at 68 offices, of which 58 are outside the United States, where 3,768 lawyers work. Baker reported PPP of $1,125,000.

Baker & Mackenzie stands apart. For more than 30 years, Baker’s business model was unique in that it consisted of a web of dozens of offices throughout the world. It has consistently been at the top of the heap of AmLaw 100 firms in terms of headcount and at or near the top of the heap in terms of gross revenues. It has never ben at the top of the AmLaw listings in terms of either profits per partner or profits per equity partner.  The Baker model has been, for decades, to be the “go to” firm for matters international.  While PPP of $1,125,000 is nothing to sneeze at, it is substantially lower than the firms that make up the AmLaw top ten. Coudert Brothers, a firm founded in 1853, pursued a similar strategy of pan globalism. By 2006, it had 650 lawyers spread around the globe in 28 offices.  In that year, after years of declining revenues and profitability, Coudert dissolved and filed for bankruptcy. A significant number of Coudert partners joined Baker, following aborted discussions between the two firms aimed at a merger.

All of the panelist attributed a great deal of their respective firms’ growth to their firm’s global platforms. Earlier, The Economist reported on the growing trend of law firm globalization and some of the technical difficulties for law firms which seek to leave their native shores and set up beachheads abroad (certainly a worthwhile read for those firms seeking to go global).

Going global is not the unique province of AmLaw 200 firms. Two hundred lawyer Atlanta based Smith, Gambrell & Russell maintains an office in Frankfurt.  One hundred and seventy Cleveland based Benesch, Friedlander, Coplan & Aronoff  maintains an office in Shanghai.  And there are many others.

The single most important metric of the success of a law firm’s offshore branch office is whether it is a net importer or exporter of legal services.  Most law firm foreign offices are net importers of services.  Despite this disappointing result and reality, law firms continue to plant foreign offices in a fashion most akin to the Nineteenth  Century urge by industrialized nations to engage in blatant and boisterous colonialism. The analogy is most apt, as you will see below.

But going global is rife with additional landmines, some of which are described below. .

Can Global Collaboration be Accomplished?

First, as I recently wrote, the key to future success for law firms is collaboration. Cultural and language differences, as well as an army of 1,000 or more lawyers in a dozen or more nations poses some serious obstacles to advancing a culture of collaboration. In addition, the nature of the attorney – client relationship varies widely from nation to nation. In some cultures, lawyers are trusted business advisers and confidants. In other cultures, lawyers are mere scriveners.  In some areas of the world clients treat lawyers as an obstacle to getting business done and dissembling when dealing with one’s own lawyers is commonplace.

Impacts of Local Upheavals on the Firm as a Whole

Second, in discussing strategic planning with attendees of the recent conference as well as with managing partners I regularly meet with, I was rather shocked to learn that virtually no global law firm has a disaster recovery program in the event of a disaster in a major foreign branch.  The greater a law firm’s footprint, the more likely one of those footprints may well land on a landmine. Disasters may be of a natural kind, such as an earthquake on Japan (from which Japanese branches of foreign law firms are still reeling).  Local disasters may be politically inspired, such as in the instance of a regime change or as is now taking place in Russia.  Or, most critically, a disaster may well be the consequence of local financial upheaval.  Of course, the most foreboding crisis is the continued upheavals in the Euro zone; should the Euro collapse, the consequences will be devastating at every level.  But, oddly, while lawyers are trained to always contemplate sundry adverse contingencies as they counsel their clients, I have yet to meet a law firm that has a plan in place should the Euro collapse.

The ability to exercise management and fiscal control over a global expanse is also problematic, as recently shown in the instance of a practice leader in an Asian branch of a US law firm who allegedly improperly pocketed million of dollars of client escrow funds resulting in a loss to the law firm of a claimed $32,000,000.  I do not, of course, suggest that purely domestic law firms are immune from partner defalcations, as recent press reports demonstrate.

In addition, going global necessarily results in substantial additional overhead costs, tax issues and subjects the law firm to compliance with foreign rules, which are often extremely xenophobic.

Foreign Offices Spinning Off to Compete with the Mother Ship

At the NLJ Managing Partners Breakfast, there seemed to be a general consensus that Asia provides the greatest opportunity for law firms, with most speakers, both on the panel and in the audience, suggesting that China still offered the greatest opportunity. However, another suggested that the profession must be mindful of the Chinese business model, which seems to be the Chinese asking foreigner to come to China and perform a service or build a product, followed by the Chinese saying “let me see how you do that.”  That in turn is followed by “teach us how to do that,” and ultimately “okay, we now know how to do that on our own, so you can leave and we will do so.”  A leading managing partner, suggested, only perhaps slightly in jest, that “in a couple of years, these managing partners meetings will only be attended by Chinese managing partners.”

This is not a uniquely Chinese phenomenon. As firms hire local lawyers, train them in the ways of BigLaw practice and allow these lawyers to bond with the mother ship’s clients, the allure to these lawyers to spin off and form their own firm, taking the clients with them may be irresistible.  These local lawyers have gained the clients’ confidence and demonstrated their ability to deliver high quality legal services. They are fully aware that they can set up shop, unburdened by the groaning weight of BigLaw overhead and offer materially lower rates, while pocketing a vastly higher percentage of the profit for their own benefit.  This has already occurred a number of times and will certainly occur in the future. A BigLaw firm, having invested substantial sums in the branch office then confronts a Hobson’s dilemma:  Cut its losses and get out of Dodge or invest even more money locally and hope to save both face and its prior investment.

More Offices = More Conflicts of Interest

Having lots of lawyers in many countries is neat and certainly does provide some nice bragging rights.  However, it also makes the potential of conflicts of interest far more serious and the ability to thoroughly vet new clients and matters almost impossible.  Global corporations do business all over the world using different business structures and under a variety of names, not always even English.  This point was driven home for me as a partner at a global law firm recently related an incident that caused great embarrassment and some serious erosion of his relationship with one of his largest clients; a global Fortune 100 company..  As he related to me, he was visiting with the client general counsel seeking to further enhance the relationship and hoping to get some more business.  The two dined in the corporate dining room and upon returning to the GC’s office, the client thumbed through the batch of mail that was left for him while they dined.  One particular large envelope, marked “Urgent” caught the GC’s eye and he opened the envelope, examined the contents, and turned to the law firm partner and said, “Jim, I know you would like to leave here with some juicy new business. We just got served with papers in which there is a major claim of patent infringement on one of our major products. From what I see in these papers, the other side is looking for $1,500,000,000 in damages. I want you to handle this case and treat it as a ‘bet the company case’, with no holds barred, especially since you know the lawyer on the other side.  They are your partners in Belgium.”

FCPA and Securities Fraud Risks

Pay to play is an element of trade that does not have its roots in the New World.   Rather, bribery, corruption or other forms of baksheesh is the way of life in most of the world.  Similarly, tax fraud is in the national DNA of many countries. And financial and accounting irregularities are rife in certain parts of the world. There is always a likelihood that local companies or branches of global companies located abroad routinely engage in this type of conduct. Of course, much of this conduct may run afoul of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act.  Of course, in the event of a law firm’s client being accused of a violation of the FCPA arising out of the conduct in a nation in which a law firm has a branch, there is terrific opportunity for that law firm to conduct the required investigations and defend the follow on domestic prosecutions and litigations in the United States, charging premium rates.  But in my view, sooner rather than later, a global law firm will likely be charged with FCPA violations, either because a client takes an “advice of counsel” defense line or because of a zealous regulator, prosecutor or a qui tam plaintiff.

I wonder how many law firms have written policies in place regarding steps to be taken when member of the firm that the client is engaged in systematic FCPA violations. I certainly haven’t found any.

One of the great varieties of exports that China sends to these shores are securities class actions predicated on an apparent Chinese sense that disclosure rules don’t really apply to them. Again, while some law firms are profitably enjoying defending Chinese companies because of this Chinese penchant, to the extent that law firms have been involved in the representation of the issuer, as with FCPA claims, it is only a matter of time that a global law firm will be named as an aider or abettor.

Structuring an International Law Firm

Most U.S. based global law firms are organized as a single partnership.  Others are organized as Swiss vereins, which are essentially an association of membership organizations formed under an umbrella formed under Swiss Law.  Global accounting firms have long been organized as vereins, largely for tax purposes and to help insulate the firm as a whole from liabilities incurred in discrete jurisdictions. Peter Kalis the eminent leader of global K&L Gates (39 offices, 16 abroad, reported gross revenues of $1,055,500,000, PPP of $930,000 and 1.763 lawyers) has been a vocal harsh critic of law firms that are formed as vereins. Kalis’ singular objection is the vereins “debased the financial results upon which [AmLaw] ranking rests.”  My own view is that too many AmLaw firms debase those rankings by gaming their own reported numbers. The accounting profession, as noted, has long been an adherent of verein systems and it has never been suggested that these firms do not accurately report on their own revenues and profits.

Some jurisdictions do not permit local lawyers to partner with a foreign firm and do not allow any law firm on their soil which have as partners who are not members of that jurisdiction’s bar.  Thus, where permissible, global firms form an affiliation with a local law firm or establish an office which is limited to advising on legal matters in which the global firm has operating offices. The latter option is the format in which Greenberg Traurig plans on opening its 34th office in Israel, a jurisdiction not otherwise hospitable to having foreign law firms operate full service offices on its shores. Nine office Mintz Levin (two overseas) has operated in Israel in this fashion for some time.

Conclusion

Notwithstanding all of these challenges, global law firms are eagerly eying opening offices in new markets such as Korea, Indonesia, Turkey, India and South America, particularly as barriers to entry are crumbling.

No, this is not a screed designed to prevent law firms from venturing abroad. Rather, branching globally requires a heightened degree of risk assessment and once a firm branches offshore, it must impose heightened controls at every level. If you are going offshore, do so with eyes wide open.

© Jerome Kowalski, December, 2011.  All Rights Reserved.

 

Jerry Kowalski, who provides consulting services to law firms, is also a dynamic (and often humorous) speaker on topics of interest to the profession and can be reached at jkowalski@kowalskiassociates.com

The Key for Law Firm Growth and Survival for the Coming Years is Contingent on Mastering Collaboration


The Key for Law Firm Growth and Survival for the Coming Years is Contingent on Mastering Collaboration.

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